Bitcoin đã bị mắc kẹt trong một phạm vi hẹp vào tháng Tám.
Typically, periods of low volatility are followed by a range expansion. The longer the time spent inside a range, the stronger the eventual breakout from it. The only problem is that it is difficult to time the breakout with certainty. Therefore, traders should be watchful. Otherwise, they may miss out on the opportunity to ride the next trending move.
Một lý do khiến tài sản rủi ro có thể bị đè nặng là sức mạnh của Chỉ số Đô la Mỹ (DXY), đã tăng trong bốn tuần liên tiếp.
In contrast, United States equities markets entered a corrective phase in the past few days. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) and the Nasdaq Composite have both pulled back for the past two weeks, indicating profit-booking by short-term traders.
Các mức hỗ trợ và kháng cự quan trọng cần theo dõi trong Bitcoin (BTC) và altcoin là gì? Hãy phân tích các biểu đồ để tìm hiểu.
Phân tích giá chỉ số S&P 500
Chỉ số S&P 500 đã giảm xuống dưới mức trung bình động theo cấp số nhân (EMA) 20 ngày là 4,497 vào ngày 3 tháng 8, và kể từ đó, phe gấu đã cản trở một số nỗ lực của phe bò để đẩy giá trở lại trên mức này.
Giá đã bật lên khỏi đường trung bình động đơn giản 50 ngày (SMA) là 4,443 vào ngày 14 tháng 8, cho thấy rằng phe bò đang bảo vệ mức này với tất cả sức mạnh của họ. Người mua sẽ cố gắng duy trì đà và đẩy giá trở lại trên đường EMA 20 ngày. Nếu họ thành công, chỉ số có thể bắt đầu hành trình lên 4.607 và sau đó
Nếu phe gấu muốn nắm quyền kiểm soát, họ sẽ phải bảo vệ đường EMA 20 ngày và kéo giá xuống dưới đường SMA 50 ngày. Điều đó có thể bắt đầu một sự điều chỉnh sâu hơn đến 4.300 và sau đó là 4.
U.S. Dollar Index price analysis
The U.S. Dollar Index held support at the 20-day EMA ($102) on Aug. 4 and again on Aug. 10, indicating a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips.
The index has reached the downtrend line, which is likely to act as a formidable resistance. If the price turns down from the downtrend line but rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the trend remains bullish. That will enhance the prospects of a rally above the downtrend line. The index could then soar toward the overhead resistance at 106.
Quan điểm tích cực này sẽ vô hiệu trong thời gian tới nếu giá giảm xuống dưới đường EMA 20 ngày. Có hỗ trợ nhỏ tại 101.74, nhưng nếu mức này nhường chỗ, chỉ số có thể giảm xuống
Phân tích giá Bitcoin
Bitcoin đã trượt xuống dưới đường EMA 20 ngày ($29,458) vào ngày 13 tháng 8, nhưng phe gấu không thể xây dựng lợi thế này và giảm giá xuống mức hỗ trợ quan trọng ở mức 28.585 đô la. Điều này cho thấy thiếu sự bán mạnh mẽ ở các mức thấp hơn.
The flattish 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) near the midpoint indicate a balance between buyers and sellers. This suggests that the BTC/USDT pair could continue to consolidate inside the range between $28,585 and $30,350 for a while longer.
The next trending move is likely to begin after the price escapes this range. If the price turns down and plunges below the $28,585 support, it could start a descent to $26,000. Conversely, a rally above $30,350 could enhance the prospects of a rally to the overhead resistance zone between $31,500 and $32,400.
Phân tích giá Ether
Ether (ETH) has been clinging to the 20-day EMA ($1,853) for the past few days, indicating that the bulls have maintained their buying pressure but the bears have held their ground.
The 20-day EMA is flattening out and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating that the selling pressure could be reducing. If bulls thrust the price above the moving averages, the ETH/USDT pair may rally to $1,930 and then to $2,000.
If bears want to maintain their control, they will have to defend the moving averages. If the price turns down from the 50-day SMA ($1,877), the pair could skid to the strong support at $1,816. This is an important level for the bulls to watch out for because a break below it may sink the pair to $1,700.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) has been trading below the moving averages for the past three days, but the bears have not been able to sink the price to the support line of the symmetrical triangle.
Nếu giá không phá vỡ trên hoặc dưới tam giác trong vài ngày tới, thì nó sẽ làm mất hiệu lực mô hình. Các đường trung bình động phẳng và chỉ báo RSI ngay dưới điểm giữa báo hiệu rằng hành động giá buồn tẻ có thể tiếp tục trong một thời gian
A break and close above the triangle will be the first sign that the uncertainty has resolved in favor of the bulls. The BNB/USDT pair could then rally to the overhead resistance at $265.
On the other hand, a break and close below the triangle could sink the pair to the crucial support at $220.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) has been swinging between the moving averages for the past few days, indicating buying near the 50-day SMA ($0.62) and selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.65).
Although buyers have held the 50-day SMA, the downsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have the edge. A shallow bounce off the current level will increase the prospects of a drop below the 50-day SMA. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair may slump to $0.56.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price climbs above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate solid buying at lower levels. The pair may then move up to $0.74.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) has been correcting inside a descending channel pattern for the past few days. This suggests a lack of aggressive buying by the bulls.
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the resistance line of the channel. That could open the doors for a possible rally to $0.34. If this level is scaled, the ADA/USDT pair may retest the July 14 intraday high at $0.38.
The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to sell the rallies to the resistance line of the channel. If the price turns down from this level, it will signal that the pair may continue to descend inside the channel. The important support to watch on the downside is $0.26.
Related: Bitcoin teases new volatility as BTC price taps 4-day high near $29.6K
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin’s (DOGE) recovery was rejected at the downtrend line on Aug. 13, indicating that the bears are fiercely defending this level.
The price has reached the support line of the ascending channel, which is an important level to keep an eye on. If the price plummets below the support line, the DOGE/USDT pair could tumble to $0.07.
Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the downtrend line, it will signal that the bulls remain buyers at lower levels. The pair could first rise to $0.08 and later to the resistance line of the channel at $0.09.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) is trading inside the range between $22.30 on the downside and $26 on the upside. A minor advantage in favor of the bulls is that the price is trading above the 20-day EMA ($24.09).
If the current bounce sustains, the bulls will try to drive the SOL/USDT pair above the overhead resistance at $26. If they succeed, the pair could pick up momentum and climb to $29.12 and later to $32.13.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from $26, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the range for a few more days. The bears will have to yank the price below $22.30 to come out on top.
Polygon price analysis
The bulls are finding it difficult to push Polygon (MATIC) above the 20-day EMA ($0.69), but a positive sign is that they have not ceded ground to the bears.
The moving averages are flattening out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. This balance could tilt in favor of the bulls if they propel the price above the 50-day SMA ($0.70). The MATIC/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to $0.80.
On the contrary, if the price turns down from the 50-day SMA, it will signal that bears are active at higher levels. That may keep the pair stuck inside a range for a few days. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the support near $0.65 to gain the upper hand. The pair could then slide to $0.60.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
