Ngân hàng Thế giới đã cảnh báo về một cuộc suy thoái toàn cầu có thể xảy ra vào năm 2023. Trong một thông cáo báo chí vào ngày 15 tháng 9, ngân hàng cho biết tốc độ tăng lãi suất hiện tại và các quyết định chính sách không đủ để đưa lạm phát xuống mức trước đại dịch.
Ray Dalio, người sáng lập tỷ phú Bridgewater Associates cho biết trong một bài đăng trên blog vào ngày 13 tháng 9 rằng nếu tỷ lệ tăng lên khoảng 4,5% ở Hoa Kỳ, nó sẽ “sản xuất khoảng 20 phần trăm tác động tiêu cực đến giá vốn chủ sở hữu.”
Triển vọng tiêu cực đối với thị trường chứng khoán không có hiệu quả cho thị trường tiền điện tử vì cả hai đã có mối tương quan chặt chẽ trong năm 2022.
The macroeconomic developments seem to be worrying cryptocurrency investors who sent 236,000 Bitcoin (BTC) to major cryptocurrency exchanges on Sept. 14, according to Glassnode data. The inflow was the highest since March 2020.
Hãy nghiên cứu các biểu đồ của chỉ số S & P 500, chỉ số đô la Mỹ (DXY) và các đồng tiền điện tử chính để xác định các mức chính có thể báo hiệu sự bắt đầu của một xu hướng xu hướng.
S&P 500
The S&P 500 index (SPX) attempted a rebound off the uptrend line on Sept. 14 but the weak rebound showed a lack of urgency to defend the level. Sellers took advantage of this situation and pulled the price below the uptrend line on Sept. 15.
Mức 3,886 từ nơi mà chỉ số đã bật lên vào ngày 6 tháng 9 cũng không cung cấp bất kỳ hỗ trợ nào, cho thấy các nhà giao dịch đang vội vàng bán vị trí của họ. Thông thường, sự cố từ một mức độ có xu hướng kiểm tra lại nó.
Trong trường hợp này, giá có thể tăng lên đường xu hướng tăng. Nếu giá quay xuống từ mức này, nó sẽ cho thấy rằng những người bán đã lật đường xu hướng tăng thành kháng cự. Điều đó có thể làm tăng khả năng giảm xuống 3.700.
trung bình di chuyển theo cấp số nhân 20 ngày (4,006) và chỉ số sức mạnh tương đối dưới 37 cho thấy rằng các nhà đầu tư đang nắm quyền.
If the price turns up and rises above the uptrend line, it will suggest that the breakdown on Sept. 15 may have been a bear trap. That could propel the index to the downtrend line.
DXY
DXY đang trong xu hướng tăng mạnh. Những người bán đã cố gắng kéo giá xuống dưới đường trung bình động nhưng những con bò đã bảo vệ mạnh mẽ đường trung bình động đơn giản 50 ngày (107) vào ngày 13 tháng 9.
Cả hai đường trung bình đang dốc lên và RSI nằm trong vùng tích cực cho thấy lợi thế cho người mua. Những con bò đực tiếp theo sẽ cố gắng đẩy giá lên trên mức kháng cự trên cao tại 110.78. Đây là một mức quan trọng để theo dõi bởi vì nếu giá duy trì trên mức này, mức tăng có thể kéo dài đến 115.
If the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below the 20-day EMA (109), it will suggest a consolidation in the near term. The price could then range between 107.58 and 110.78 for a few days. A potential trend change could be signaled if bears sink the price below 107.58.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Sept. 14, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. The uncertainty resolved to the downside on Sept. 15 but the bears have failed to build upon this advantage. This indicates that the selling pressure reduces at lower levels.
Buyers will attempt to salvage the situation by pushing the price above the 20-day EMA ($20,529). If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair could rise to the overhead resistance at $22,799. The bears may defend this level aggressively but if bulls thrust the price above it, the pair could rally to $25,211.
Contrarily, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are viewing rallies as a selling opportunity. That could sink the pair to the strong support at $18,510. The zone between $18,510 and $17,622 could witness aggressive buying from the bulls because the failure to defend this zone may start the next leg of the downtrend.
ETH/USDT
Ether (ETH) bounced off the support line on Sept. 14 but the joy of the bulls proved to be short-lived. The price turned down sharply from the 20-day EMA ($1,609) and plunged below the support line on Sept. 15.
The 20-day EMA has started to turn down and the RSI has slipped below 39, indicating that bears are in control. The sellers have pulled the price to $1,422 and if this support cracks, the ETH/USDT pair could drop to $1,280.
If the price turns up from the current level, the pair could recover to the moving averages, which may act as a strong resistance. The bulls will have to clear this hurdle to suggest that the selling pressure could be reducing.
BNB/USDT
The bears pulled Binance Coin (BNB) below the immediate support at $275 but they are struggling to keep the price down. This indicates that lower levels are attracting buyers.
If the price sustains above $275, the BNB/USDT pair could be in the early stages of forming a symmetrical triangle. This suggests uncertainty about the next directional move among the bulls and the bears. That could keep the price inside the triangle for some time.
If the price rises above the 20-day EMA ($283), the pair could rally to the resistance line of the triangle. A break above the triangle could push the pair to $338.
Another possibility is that the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and plummets below the support line of the triangle. That could start a decline to $258 and later to $239.
XRP/USDT
XRP has been range-bound between $0.30 and $0.39 for the past several weeks. In the past few days, the range has shrunk further with bulls buying the dips to $0.32 and bears selling the recovery to the 50-day SMA ($0.35).
The price action inside a range is usually volatile and difficult to call. Still, as the buyers had successfully defended the $0.32 support between Aug. 28 and Sept. 7, they will again try to do that. If the price rises from the current level, the XRP/USDT pair could rally to the 20-day EMA ($0.34) and later to the 50-day SMA.
If bulls drive the price above the 50-day SMA, the likelihood of a rally to $0.39 increases. The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively. On the downside, if the price slips below $0.32, the crucial support of $0.30 may be retested.
ADA/USDT
The bears are attempting to build upon their advantage in Cardano (ADA). They sold the recovery to the 20-day EMA ($0.48) on Sept. 14 and are trying to pull the price below the immediate support at $0.45.
Although moving averages are not a valuable tool in a ranging market, they tend to be helpful to determine the short-term trend. The 20-day EMA has started to turn down and the RSI is in the negative territory, indicating advantage to bears. If the price slips and sustains below $0.45, the ADA/USDT pair could drop to $0.42.
If bulls want to gain the upper hand, they will have to arrest the decline and push the price above the moving averages. That could clear the path for a rally to the downtrend line. A break above this resistance could indicate that the bulls are back in the driver’s seat.
Related: Does Ethereum’s new ETHPoW fork stand a chance? ETHW price falls 65% post-Merge
SOL/USDT
Solana (SOL) turned down from the 20-day EMA ($33.84) on Sept. 15, indicating that the sentiment remains negative and bears are selling on minor rallies.
The SOL/USDT pair could decline to the strong support at $30. This level was resilient during the onslaught between Aug. 28 and Sept. 7 and gave a bounce to $39 on Sept. 13. Short-term traders may again expect a bounce off $30 and are likely to buy the dips to this level.
The rebound off the support could continue to face hurdles at the 20-day EMA and then again at the 50-day SMA ($36.95). If the price closes above this resistance, it could open the doors for a possible up-move to $48. Conversely, if the $30 level cracks, the pair could slide to the vital support at $26.
DOGE/USDT
Dogecoin (DOGE) has continued its slide and is near the strong support of $0.06. The price rebounded off this level on Sept. 7 hence it may again attract buyers.
A break and close above the 20-day EMA ($0.06) will be the first sign of demand building up at higher levels. The DOGE/USDT pair could then rise to $0.07. This level may again act as a resistance but if bulls push the price above it, the pair could rise to $0.08 and thereafter to $0.09.
If the price slips below the immediate support at $0.06, the pair could slide to the June low near $0.05. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below this level to signal the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The pair could then extend the decline to $0.04.
DOT/USDT
The bulls attempted to start a recovery on Sept. 14 but higher levels attracted selling by the bears. Polkadot (DOT) turned down on Sept. 15 and the bears are trying to sink the price below the immediate support of $6.75.
Buyers had successfully defended the $6.75 level on two previous occasions, hence a break and close below it may intensify selling. The DOT/USDT pair could first drop to $6.50 and later to the crucial support at $6.
As the previous three recoveries have turned down from the 50-day SMA ($7.86), it remains the key level to watch out for on the upside. The bulls will have to overcome this barrier to start a rally to $9.17 and then to $10.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
