Thị trường chứng khoán Châu Âu và thị trường chứng khoán Hoa Kỳ đều nằm sâu sắc trong sắc đỏ vào ngày 22 tháng 8 vì các nhà đầu tư lo ngại rằng việc tăng lãi suất tích cực có thể không nằm ngoài bảng.
Một điều khiến các nhà đầu tư lo lắng có thể là hội nghị chuyên đề kinh tế Jackson Hole sắp tới dự kiến bắt đầu vào ngày 25 tháng 8. Các nhà đầu tư lo ngại rằng Chủ tịch Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Jerome Powell có thể giải thích thêm về lập trường diều hâu của Fed và kế hoạch tăng lãi suất trong tương lai.
Sự không chắc chắn vĩ mô này đã khiến các nhà đầu tư tổ chức tránh xa thị trường crypto. Dữ liệu CoinShares cho thấy các sản phẩm đầu tư crypto ghi nhận khối lượng hàng tuần là 1 tỷ USD, thấp hơn 55% so với mức trung bình hàng năm.
On-chain analytics resource Material Indicators said that Bitcoin (BTC) has not broken below the July lows. This suggests that the bear market rally is not yet over. However, buyers will have to push the price above the 200-week moving average near $23,000 to gain the upper hand.
Liệu Bitcoin và hầu hết các altcoins chính có thể trở lại mạnh mẽ trong vài ngày tới và mức độ quan trọng cần chú ý là gì? Hãy nghiên cứu các biểu đồ của 10 loại tiền điện tử hàng đầu để tìm hiểu.
BTC/USDT
Người mua đã bảo vệ đường hỗ trợ của kênh tăng dần vào ngày 19 tháng 8 và bắt đầu hồi phục nhưng sự phục hồi bị đình trệ ở mức 21,800 USD. Điều này cho thấy những con gấu đang đặt ra một thách thức mạnh mẽ gần đường trung bình động.
A minor positive is that the long tail on the Aug. 22 candlestick shows that bulls are attempting to defend the support line with vigor. If bulls push the price above $21,800, the BTC/USDT pair could rise to the 20-day exponential moving average ($22,725).
If the price turns down from this resistance, it will suggest that the sentiment has turned negative and traders are selling on rallies. That could increase the possibility of a break below the channel. If that happens, the selling momentum could pick up and the pair could plummet toward the June 18 low at $17,622.
Ngược lại, nếu người mua đẩy giá lên trên đường EMA 20 ngày, nó sẽ gợi ý rằng cặp tiền có thể kéo dài thời gian duy trì trong kênh thêm vài ngày nữa. Những con bò đực sau đó sẽ cố gắng đẩy giá về đường kháng cự của kênh.
ETH/USDT
Ether ( ETH) giảm xuống dưới đường EMA 20 ngày ($1,718) và mức phá vỡ $1,700 vào ngày 19 tháng 8 cho thấy các nhà giao dịch đã mua ở mức thấp hơn đang thoát vị thế của họ.
The bulls attempted to stall the decline at the 50-day simple moving average ($1,549) but the weak bounce off it suggests a lack of aggressive buying at the level. This increases the likelihood of a break below the support.
Nếu điều đó xảy ra và cặp ETH/USDT phá vỡ dưới 1.500 đô la Mỹ, việc bán có thể tăng lên vì những người mua có thể chờ đợi giá để đạt được ngưỡng hỗ trợ mạnh tiếp theo trước khi mua lại. Cặp này do đó có thể giảm xuống còn $1,280.
Conversely, if the price bounces off the current level and rises above the 20-day EMA, traders who did not buy at the 50-day SMA may buy aggressively lest they miss out on the up-move. That could push the price toward $2,000.
BNB/USDT
inance Coin ( BNB) bật ra khỏi ngưỡng hỗ trợ mạnh tại $275 đang phải đối mặt với kháng cự mạnh tại đường EMA 20 ngày ($301) nhưng một tích cực nhỏ là những con bò chưa nhượng lại cho người bán. Điều này cho thấy người mua kỳ vọng sự phục hồi sẽ tiếp tục tiếp tục.
If the price rises above the 20-day EMA, the BNB/USDT pair could rally to the overhead resistance at $338. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it will complete the bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern. This setup has a pattern target of $493.
It may not be a straight dash to the target objective as bears may attempt to stall the rally at $420 and then again at $460.
Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $275, the pair will complete a short-term head and shoulders pattern. That could start a decline toward the pattern target of $212.
It is better to wait for either pattern to complete before establishing a position because the setups tend to break down more often than not.
XRP/USDT
XRP remains stuck inside the range between $0.30 and $0.39. The bulls are attempting to defend the support at $0.33 but are facing stiff resistance at higher levels.
If the price turns down and breaks below $0.33, the likelihood of a drop to $0.30 increases. This level has previously acted as a strong support hence traders may buy the dip expecting a rally back to $0.39.
Another possibility is that the price bounces off $0.33 and breaks above the moving averages. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair may rally to the stiff overhead resistance at $0.39.
It is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout from a range. Therefore, traders may wait for the break to happen before establishing fresh positions.
ADA/USDT
Cardano (ADA) slipped below the 50-day SMA ($0.49) on Aug. 19, indicating that bears have the upper hand. Buyers tried to start a relief rally on Aug. 20 but the weak bounce shows a lack of demand at higher levels.
The bears will now try to sink the price to the strong support at $0.40. This is an important level to keep an eye on because the bulls have defended the level successfully since May 12. A break and close below this support could signal the start of the next leg of the downtrend.
Conversely, if the price rebounds off $0.40, the buyers will attempt to push the ADA/USDT pair above the moving averages. If they manage to do that, the pair could rally to the downtrend line.
SOL/USDT
Solana (SOL) broke below the moving averages on Aug. 19, indicating that bears have the upper hand in the near term. The sellers will try to sink the price to the immediate support at $32.
If the price rebounds off $32, the bulls will attempt to push the SOL/USDT pair above the moving averages. If they succeed, it will suggest that the pair may rise toward the overhead resistance at $48.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price slips below $32, the pair could slide to the crucial support at $26. The bulls are expected to defend this level with all their might because the failure to do so may signal the resumption of the downtrend.
DOGE/USDT
Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the trendline on Aug. 20 but the bulls could not clear the overhead hurdle at the 20-day EMA ($0.07). This indicates that bears do not want to surrender their advantage and are selling on minor rallies.
The DOGE/USDT pair formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Aug. 21 which resolved to the downside on Aug. 22 and the price slipped below the trendline. If the price sustains below the trendline, the pair could further decline to $0.06. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break below it could result in a drop to the crucial support at $0.05.
To invalidate this bearish view, the bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA. If that happens, it will suggest that bulls aggressively purchased the drop below the trendline. That could open the doors for a possible rally to the overhead resistance at $0.08.
Related: BTC to lose $21K despite miners’ capitulation exit? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
DOT/USDT
Polkadot (DOT) broke below the 50-day SMA ($7.78) on Aug. 19, indicating a lack of buying support from the bulls. The bears will now attempt to sink the price to the strong support at $6.
When the price is trading inside a large range, traders generally buy the rebound off the support by keeping a tight stop-loss. This improves the risk-to-reward ratio. Therefore, the likelihood of a bounce off the $6 support is high. If that happens, the DOT/USDT pair may remain range-bound between $6 and $10 for some more time.
The next trending move could start on a break below $6 or on a break above $10. If the support at $6 gives way, the pair may start the next leg of the downtrend.
SHIB/USDT
Shiba Inu (SHIB) is witnessing a tussle near the 20-day EMA ($0.000013) with both the bulls and the bears vying for supremacy. The buyers are attempting to push the price above the overhead resistance at $0.000014 but the bears have held their ground.
The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. This balance could tilt in favor of the bulls if the price rises above $0.000014. If that happens, the SHIB/USDT pair could rise to the stiff overhead resistance at $0.000018.
Conversely, if the price breaks below $0.000012, the pair could tilt in favor of the sellers. The pair could then drop to the next strong support at $0.000010.
MATIC/USDT
Polygon (MATIC) has been consolidating in a large range between $0.75 and $1 for the past few days. The bulls purchased the dip to the support of the range but the rebound is facing stiff resistance from the bears at higher levels.
If bulls push the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.86), the MATIC/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the overhead resistance at $1 where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense. If the price turns down from this resistance, the pair could extend its stay inside the range for some more time.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $0.75, it will suggest that bears are back in command. The pair could then decline to the next support at $0.63.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
