Phân tích giá 1/30: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, DOGE, ADA, MATIC, DOT

Các nhà giao dịch có xu hướng làm sáng các vị trí trước các sự kiện quan trọng vì họ ghét sự không chắc chắn. Quyết định chính sách của Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Hoa Kỳ là vào ngày 1 tháng 2, trong đó ngân hàng trung ương dự kiến sẽ tăng lãi suất 25 điểm cơ bản.

Sự phục hồi mạnh mẽ của Bitcoin trong tháng Một cũng có thể là báo hiệu sự khởi đầu của một thị trường bò mới, theo các chỉ số trên chuỗi nhất định. Chỉ số lợi nhuận và lỗ từ nền tảng phân tích trên chuỗi CryptoQuant đã đưa ra tín hiệu mua đầu tiên kể từ năm 2019.

Nhà phân tích trưởng của Blockware Solutions Joe Burnett tin rằng Bitcoin sẽ không phá vỡ trên mức cao nhất mọi thời đại của nó là $69,000 cho đến khi Bitcoin giảm một nửa tiếp theo dự kiến sẽ xảy ra vào tháng 3 năm 2024. Burnett dự đoán đầu thị trường bò đực tiếp theo của Bitcoin sẽ nằm trong khoảng 150.000 USD đến $350,000, mức tăng mạnh so với mức hiện tại.

Các mức hỗ trợ quan trọng cần chú ý trong Bitcoin và altcoins là gì? Hãy nghiên cứu các biểu đồ để tìm hiểu.

SPX

Sau nhiều nỗ lực thất bại, chỉ số S & P 500 đóng cửa trên đường xu hướng giảm vào ngày 26 tháng Một. Tuy nhiên, những con gấu không sẵn sàng đầu hàng mà không có một cuộc chiến.

Người bán đang cố gắng ngăn chặn sự phục hồi ở mức 4,101, nhưng đường trung bình di chuyển theo cấp số nhân 20 ngày (3,972) và chỉ số sức mạnh tương đối (RSI) trong vùng tích cực cho thấy con đường kháng cự ít nhất là đi lên. Nếu người mua đẩy giá lên trên 4,101, chỉ số này có thể bắt đầu cuộc hành trình lên 4,325.

Ngoài ra, nếu những người bán đẩy giá xuống dưới đường trung bình, một số con bò đực hung hăng có thể bị mắc kẹt và sau đó chỉ số này có thể giảm xuống 3.764.

DXY

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) is falling inside a descending broadening wedge pattern but the bulls are trying to protect the support at 101.29.

The bounce could face selling at the 20-day EMA (102.63) because bears defended this level during downtrends. If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the likelihood of a break below 101.29 increases. That could tug the index to the psychologically crucial level of 100.

On the contrary, if the index rises above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest strong demand from the bulls. The index could then rise toward the resistance line of the wedge. The bulls will have to clear this hurdle to suggest that the short-term downtrend may have ended.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin rose above the resistance at $23,816 on Jan. 29 but the bulls could not build upon the momentum on Jan. 30. That may have tempted short-term traders to book profits and the price has dropped down toward $22,800.

If the price rebounds off $22,800, it will suggest that bulls have flipped the level into support. That could increase the likelihood of a rally to $25,211. Sellers are likely to guard this level with all their might because if $25,211 is conquered, the BTC/USDT pair could dash toward the $30,000 to $32,000 zone.

Mặt khác, nếu gấu kéo giá xuống dưới mức 22,800 USD, sự điều chỉnh có thể tăng lên đường EMA 20 ngày ($21,716) và sau đó đến mức hỗ trợ tâm lý tại $20,000.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) once again reached near the overhead resistance at $1,680 but the bulls could not overcome this obstacle. That means the price remains stuck between the 20-day EMA ($1,540) and $1,680.

If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest strong buying on dips. The bulls will then again try to thrust the price above $1,680. If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could rally toward $2,000 with a brief stop near $1,800.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and tumbles below the 20-day EMA, it could attract profit-booking by the short-term bulls. The pair could then decline to the 50-day SMA ($1,365), which may act as a strong support.

BNB/USDT

BNB (BNB) touched the strong resistance of $318 on Jan. 29 but the bulls could not overcome this barrier. This indicates that bears are fiercely defending the level.

The immediate support on the downside is the 20-day EMA ($298). Although the upsloping 20-day EMA suggests advantage to buyers, the negative divergence on the RSI indicates that the positive momentum could be weakening. The selling could accelerate on a break below the 20-day EMA and the BNB/USDT pair could slide to $280.

Contrarily, if the price turns up from the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again attempt to drive the pair above $318. If they manage to do that, the pair could soar to $360.

XRP/USDT

XRP’s (XRP) price is getting squeezed between the 20-day EMA ($0.40) and the overhead resistance at $0.42.

Usually, a tight consolidation near the overhead resistance gives an edge to the buyers but when the bulls fail to surpass the hurdle even after repeated attempts, some traders may book profits.

That could start a deeper correction and in this case, a break below the 20-day EMA could open the doors for a drop to the 50-day SMA ($0.37).

If bulls want to maintain their dominance, they will have to quickly kick the XRP/USDT pair above the $0.42 to $0.44 resistance zone. That could start a rally to $0.51.

DOGE/USDT

The bears are not allowing Dogecoin (DOGE) to sustain above $0.09 and the bulls are not letting it dip below the 20-day EMA ($0.08).

If the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will again try to force the DOGE/USDT pair above $0.09. If they can pull it off, the pair could soar to $0.11 where the bears may again mount a strong defense.

Conversely, if the price breaks below the 20-day EMA, the next stop could be the 50-day SMA ($0.08). This level could act as a minor support but if bears sink the price below it, the pair could collapse to the critical support near $0.07.

Related: Bitcoin price pares weekend gains as another CME ‘gap’ lurks below $20K

ADA/USDT

After trading above the $0.38 resistance for three days, Cardano (ADA) dropped below the breakout level on Jan. 30. This indicates that bears are active at higher levels.

The rising 20-day EMA ($0.36) indicates advantage to buyers but the negative divergence on the RSI warns that the bulls may be losing their grip. The bears will try to yank the price to the 20-day EMA, which is an important level to keep an eye on in the near term.

If the price plummets below the 20-day EMA, the selling could increase and the ADA/USDT pair may fall to $0.32.

Contrarily, if buyers want to maintain their dominance, they will have to quickly thrust the price above $0.40. The pair could then travel to $0.44.

MATIC/USDT

Polygon’s (MATIC) up-move met with heavy selling near $1.20 on Jan. 29. The price could retest the breakout level of $1.05, which is an important level to keep an eye on.

If the price springs back from $1.05, it will signal that bulls have flipped the level into support. The buyers will then try to propel the price above $1.20 and challenge the strong resistance near $1.30.

On the other hand, if the price dives below the 20-day EMA ($1.02), it will suggest that the breakout above $1.05 may have been a bull trap. The MATIC/USDT pair could then tumble to the 50-day SMA ($0.89).

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) has been struggling to sustain above the resistance line for the past few days, which indicates that bears are fiercely defending this level.

The sellers will try to pull the price back below the 20-day EMA ($6). If they manage to do that, it could tilt the near-term advantage in favor of the bears. The DOT/USDT pair could then decline to $5.50 and later to the 50-day SMA ($5.20).

Conversely, if the price bounces off the 20-day EMA, the bulls will try to clear the overhead zone between the resistance line and $6.84. If that happens, the pair could rally toward $8. There is a minor support at $7.42 but that is likely to be crossed.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.