Sau đợt bán tháo khó khăn trong tuần qua, thị trường tiền điện tử sẽ tìm kiếm một số hỗ trợ từ dữ liệu kinh tế vĩ mô trong tuần này. Báo cáo chỉ số giá tiêu dùng quan trọng của Hoa Kỳ vào ngày 13 tháng 6 sẽ được theo sau bởi quyết định chính sách của Cục Dự trữ Liên bang vào ngày 14 tháng 6
Cả hai sự kiện này đều có thể kích hoạt phản ứng mạnh mẽ từ các nhà giao dịch chứng khoán và tiền điện tử. Trong khi một phản ứng giật đầu gối được mong đợi, sẽ rất thú vị để lưu ý nếu có bất kỳ sự tiếp theo nào đối với nó. Các nhà giao dịch có thể vẫn thận trọng vì sự biến động của thị trường có thể sẽ tăng trong vài ngày tới
Mặc dù vụ kiện của Ủy ban Chứng khoán và Giao dịch Hoa Kỳ (SEC) chống lại Binance và Coinbase đã làm suy yếu tâm lý, nhưng cá voi Bitcoin (BTC) đang sử dụng cơ hội này để tăng lượng nắm giữ của họ. Nền tảng phân tích hành vi Santiment cho biết trong một báo cáo gần đây rằng cá voi Bitcoin đã tích lũy được 57.578 Bitcoin kể từ ngày 9 tháng 4, ngay cả khi giá Bitcoin giảm khoảng 10%
Các mức hỗ trợ quan trọng trong Bitcoin và các altcoin chính cần giữ để bắt đầu phục hồi là gì? Hãy nghiên cứu các biểu đồ để tìm hiểu.
Phân tích giá chỉ số S&P 500
Chỉ số S&P 500 (SPX) đã đạt ngưỡng kháng cự trên 4,325 vào ngày 9 tháng 6, nhưng bấc dài trên nến trong ngày cho thấy phe gấu đang cố gắng ngăn chặn đà tăng ở mức này.
The upsloping moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers thrust the price above 4,325, the index could start its march toward 4,500, where the bulls may encounter selling from the bears.
This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages. Such a move will suggest that the bulls are aggressively booking profits. The index could then tumble to the uptrend line.
Phân tích giá Chỉ số Đô la Mỹ
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) skidded back below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of 103 on June 8, but the bears are struggling to sustain the lower levels.
Người mua đang cố gắng đẩy giá trở lại trên đường EMA 20 ngày, có thể bắt đầu tăng lên 104,70 và sau đó là 106. Mức này có khả năng hoạt động như một mức kháng cự đáng gờm
The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI just above the midpoint suggest that the index may remain inside the large range between 100.82 and 106 for a while longer.
Alternatively, if the price turns down and slips back below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears are selling on rallies. The index could then start a deeper correction to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of 102.
Phân tích giá Bitcoin
Phe bò đã cố gắng duy trì Bitcoin trên mức hỗ trợ quan trọng 25,250 đô la trong vài ngày qua, cho thấy sức mua mạnh ở mức này.
Although the downsloping moving averages indicate an advantage to bears, the positive divergence on the RSI suggests that the selling pressure could be reducing. The bulls will try to thrust the price above the 20-day EMA ($26,654), clearing the path for a potential rally to the resistance line of the descending channel.
Thay vào đó, nếu giá giảm từ đường EMA 20 ngày, điều đó sẽ cho thấy phe gấu đang duy trì áp lực bán. Cặp BTC/USDT sau đó có thể kiểm tra lại mức hỗ trợ ở mức $25,250. Nếu mức này bị phá vỡ, cặp tiền có thể giảm xuống đường hỗ trợ của kênh và cuối cùng là 20.000 đô la
Phân tích giá Ether
Ether (ETH) tried to start a recovery on June 11, but the shallow bounce suggests that the bears are selling on every minor rally.
The bears are trying to strengthen their position further by dragging the price below the immediate support at $1,700. If that happens, it will suggest the start of a deeper correction. There is minor support at $1,600, but if this level gives way, the decline may extend to $1,352.
On the contrary, if the ETH/USDT pair once again rebounds off $1,700, it will signal that the bulls are fiercely protecting the level. A rally above the resistance at $1,778 could clear the path for a potential up move to the moving averages.
BNB price analysis
BNB’s (BNB) price fell from $305 on June 5 to $220 on June 12, a 27% fall within a few days. This indicates that the bears are in firm command.
The sharp decline has pulled the RSI into deeply oversold territory, suggesting that a relief rally is possible in the next few days. The BNB/USDT pair could first rise to $240 and thereafter attempt a rally to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $252.50.
If the price turns down from this level, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders continue to sell on rallies. The bears will then again try to tug the price below $220. If they pull it off, the pair could nosedive to $200 and then to $183.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) has been a relative outperformer in the past few days, as the bulls have managed to sustain the price above the moving averages.
The buyers will have to overcome the obstacle at $0.56 to start the next leg of the uptrend. The XRP/USDT pair could then rise to $0.65.
However, this may not be easy because bears are likely to protect the $0.56 level with vigor. If the price dips below the 20-day EMA ($0.50), it could signal that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair may then slump to the 50-day SMA ($0.47), which is an important level to keep an eye on.
If the price rebounds off this level, the pair may oscillate between the 50-day SMA and $0.56 for a few days.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) succumbed to intense selling pressure after breaking down from the ascending channel pattern on June 5.
The downward move continued, and on June 10, the ADA/USDT pair plunged below the crucial support at $0.24. This drop sent the RSI deep into the oversold territory, indicating that the selling may have been overdone in the near term.
Strong buying at $0.22 started a recovery that may first reach $0.29 and then the 20-day EMA ($0.33). This zone is likely to witness intense battles between the bulls and the bears. If the price turns down from the zone, it will suggest that bears remain in the driver’s seat.
Related: Bitcoin and select altcoins show resilience even as the crypto market sell-off continues
Dogecoin price analysis
The bears pulled Dogecoin (DOGE) below $0.06 on June 10, but the bulls purchased this drop and the price recovered to close above the support.
However, the bulls are struggling to start a meaningful pullback, indicating that demand dries up at higher levels. The bears will once again try to sink the price below the strong support at $0.06. If they do that, the DOGE/USDT pair could slump to the next major support near $0.05.
The bulls are expected to guard the zone between $0.06 and $0.05 with all their might because a break below it may lead to panic selling. Buyers will have to kick the price back above $0.07 to gain strength.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) slipped below the strong support of $15.28 on June 10, but the long tail on the candlestick shows aggressive buying at lower levels.
Buyers attempted to start a rebound, but the doji candlestick pattern on June 11 shows that the bears are not willing to let go of their advantage easily. They are again trying to pull the price below the support at $15.28. If they succeed, the price could decline to the next support at $12.69.
Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above $16.18, it will signal the start of a stronger recovery. The SOL/USDT pair could then rise to the 20-day EMA ($18.85), where the bears may again mount a strong defense.
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) plummeted below the vital support of $0.69 on June 10, indicating that bears are in firm control.
A minor solace for the buyers is that the price recovered sharply off the strong support near $0.50 as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick. The MATIC/USDT pair will attempt a bounce, which is likely to face strong selling at the breakdown level of $0.69.
If the price turns down from this level, it will suggest that the bears are trying to flip $0.69 into resistance. That could result in a retest of $0.50. If bulls want to start a sustained recovery, they will have to drive and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.79).
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
